UPDATED: 11-03-25 18:17 PDT

men Mercyhurst 1
  
Mercyhurst            
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 86.4381

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 89.8) 11-21 214 A Mass-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 88.5) 7-15 222 H Queens ASUN ( 3-11, 87.6) 8- 9 225 A St B'venture Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 89.0) 9-11 302 A Hampton CAA ( 0-15, 81.1) 22- 6 304 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 3-23 315 H LIU NEC ( 9- 4, 91.3) 12-15 322 A VMI NEC (10- 4, 90.6) 12-18 329 A Rob Morris NEC ( 9- 5, 91.8) 8-17 405 H Cleveland St NEC ( 4-10, 88.3) 10-13 412 H Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 89.7) 7- 8 419 A Detroit NEC ( 5- 6, 88.3) 13-14 426 H Wagner NEC ( 1-13, 85.7) 12-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Bellarmine             11-21     -10    -4          -0.80
   214 A Mass-Lowell             7-15      -8    -3    -     -2.08
   222 H Queens                  8- 9      -1     0          -0.65
   225 A St B'venture            9-11      -2    -3           1.45
   302 A Hampton                22- 6      16     4           0.51
   304 A Richmond                3-23     -20   -12           0.00
   315 H LIU                    12-15      -3    -4           0.96
   322 A VMI                    12-18      -6    -5           0.00
   329 A Rob Morris              8-17      -9    -6           0.00
   405 H Cleveland St           10-13      -3    -1          -1.96
   412 H Le Moyne                7- 8      -1    -2           1.41
   419 A Detroit                13-14      -1    -3           1.75
   426 H Wagner                 12-11       1     2          -0.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Mass-Lowell             7-15      -8    -3    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Mercyhurst PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force Air Force   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Albany Albany Albany   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Army Army   Army
Bellarmine Bellarmine Bellarmine  
Binghamton Binghamton Binghamton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston Univ Boston Univ   Boston Univ
Brown Brown   Brown
Bryant Bryant Bryant   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bucknell Bucknell Bucknell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canisius Canisius tied -  0- 5 Canisius
Cleveland St Cleveland St Cleveland St  
Colgate Colgate   Colgate
Cornell Cornell Cornell   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware tied -  1- 0 Delaware
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Detroit Detroit  
Drexel Drexel tied -  1- 0 Drexel
Duke Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairfield Fairfield Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Georgetown Georgetown tied -  0- 1 Georgetown
Hampton Mercyhurst Mercyhurst  
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point High Point   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Hobart Hobart Hobart   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Hofstra Hofstra tied -  2- 0 Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Iona Iona tied -  1- 2 Iona
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
JHU JHU   JHU
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Le Moyne Le Moyne Le Moyne  
Lehigh Lehigh tied -  0- 1 Lehigh
LIU LIU LIU  
Loyola Loyola   Loyola
Manhattan Manhattan tied -  1- 0 Manhattan
Marist Marist   Marist
Marquette Marquette Marquette   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Maryland Maryland Maryland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
UMass UMass UMass   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mass-Lowell Mass-Lowell Mass-Lowell  
Mercer Mercer Mercer   2- 4 vs 1- 5
Merrimack Merrimack tied -  0- 1 Merrimack
Michigan Michigan Michigan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Monmouth Monmouth tied -  2- 1 Monmouth
Mt St Marys Mt St Marys Mt St Marys   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Navy Navy Navy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
NJIT NJIT tied -  1- 1 NJIT
No Carolina No Carolina   No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Penn Penn   Penn
Penn State Penn State Penn State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Providence Providence   Providence
Queens Queens Queens  
Quinnipiac Quinnipiac   Quinnipiac
Richmond Richmond Richmond  
Rob Morris Rob Morris Rob Morris  
Rutgers Rutgers Rutgers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart tied -  1- 0 Sacred Heart
Siena Siena tied -  0- 1 Siena
St B'venture St B'venture St B'venture  
St Johns St Johns   St Johns
St Josephs St Josephs St Josephs   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Towson Towson tied -  1- 0 Towson
UMBC UMBC UMBC   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Utah Utah Utah   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vermont Vermont Vermont   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia tied -  0- 1 Virginia
VMI VMI VMI  
Wagner Mercyhurst Mercyhurst  
Yale Yale   Yale

PairWisePlus = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    11-21      -10.12       8.70       0.86         1.10           -10.21
   0 A Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)     7-15      -11.40       7.41       0.86         1.10           -11.63
   0 H Queens          ( 3-11, 87.6)     8- 9      -12.26       6.56      -0.86         1.10           -14.46
   0 A St B'venture    ( 6-10, 89.0)     9-11      -10.87       7.94       0.86         1.10           -11.04
   0 A Hampton         ( 0-15, 81.1)    22- 6      -18.81       1.00       0.86         1.10             2.05
   0 A Richmond        (13- 3, 97.4)     3-23       -2.52      16.29       0.86         1.10            -1.83
   0 H LIU             ( 9- 4, 91.3)    12-15       -8.65      10.17      -0.86         1.10           -10.48
   0 A VMI             (10- 4, 90.6)    12-18       -9.32       9.49       0.86         1.10            -9.33
   0 A Rob Morris      ( 9- 5, 91.8)     8-17       -8.10      10.72       0.86         1.10            -7.98
   0 H Cleveland St    ( 4-10, 88.3)    10-13      -11.56       7.25      -0.86         1.10           -13.70
   0 H Le Moyne        ( 9- 5, 89.7)     7- 8      -10.19       8.62      -0.86         1.10           -12.19
   0 A Detroit         ( 5- 6, 88.3)    13-14      -11.57       7.24       0.86         1.10           -11.82
   0 H Wagner          ( 1-13, 85.7)    12-11      -14.18       4.63      -0.86         1.10             4.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -108.47

winning pts = 6.2093 losing points = -114.6822

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------