UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men Mercyhurst 1
  
Mercyhurst            
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 84.2222

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 4- 8, 89.5) 9-17 214 H UMassLowell AE ( 2- 6, 85.3) 13-14 217 H Canisius MAAC ( 2- 7, 86.4) 10- 8 222 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 5, 86.7) 11-14 227 A Binghamton AE ( 2- 6, 87.8) 6-12 303 H St Bonnies A10 ( 4- 6, 88.7) 9-12 307 H Hampton CAA ( 0- 8, 81.7) 15-12 314 A Cleveland State NEC ( 4- 5, 89.1) 6-14 321 H VMI NEC ( 4- 5, 86.7) 13-19 328 A Wagner NEC ( 4- 5, 85.7) 6- 7 404 A LIU NEC ( 7- 1, 90.5) 411 H Robert Morris NEC ( 8- 3, 91.9) 418 H Detroit Mercy NEC ( 1- 8, 86.8) 425 A Le Moyne NEC ( 2- 9, 86.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Bellarmine              9-17      -8    -4          -0.59
   214 H UMassLowell            13-14      -1     0          -0.74
   217 H Canisius               10- 8       2    -1    +      3.31
   222 A Queens                 11-14      -3    -3           0.34
   227 A Binghamton              6-12      -6    -4          -0.63
   303 H St Bonnies              9-12      -3    -4           0.63
   307 H Hampton                15-12       3     3          -0.34
   314 A Cleveland State         6-14      -8    -6           0.00
   321 H VMI                    13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.32
   328 A Wagner                  6- 7      -1    -2           1.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H VMI                    13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Canisius               10- 8       2    -1    +      3.31

Mercyhurst Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force   Air Force
Albany Albany insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Albany
Army Army   Army
Bellarmine Bellarmine Bellarmine  
Binghamton Binghamton Binghamton  
Boston Univ Boston Univ   Boston Univ
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Bryant   Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bucknell
Canisius Mercyhurst Mercyhurst  
Cleveland State Cleveland State Cleveland State  
Colgate Colgate   Colgate
Cornell Cornell   Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware   Delaware
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver
Detroit Mercy Detroit Mercy tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Detroit Mercy
Drexel Drexel   Drexel
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duke
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Hampton Mercyhurst Mercyhurst  
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) High Point
Hobart Hobart tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hobart
Hofstra Hofstra   Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Iona Iona   Iona
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   Johns Hopkins
Lafayette Lafayette insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lafayette
Le Moyne Le Moyne insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Le Moyne
Lehigh Lehigh   Lehigh
LIU LIU LIU   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Loyola Loyola   Loyola
Manhattan Manhattan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manhattan
Marist Marist insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marist
Marquette Marquette Marquette   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UMassLowell UMassLowell UMassLowell  
Mercer Mercer Mercer   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Merrimack Merrimack   Merrimack
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth Monmouth insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monmouth
Mt St Marys Mt St Marys insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mt St Marys
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Navy
NJIT NJIT insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) NJIT
North Carolina North Carolina   North Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania   Pennsylvania
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Providence Providence   Providence
Queens Queens Queens  
Quinnipiac Quinnipiac tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Quinnipiac
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Robert Morris Robert Morris Robert Morris   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sacred Heart
Siena Siena insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Siena
St Bonnies St Bonnies St Bonnies  
St Johns St Johns   St Johns
St Josephs St Josephs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Towson Towson   Towson
UMBC UMBC   UMBC
Utah Utah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Utah
Vermont Vermont insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vermont
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
VMI VMI VMI  
Wagner Wagner Wagner  
Yale Yale   Yale

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 4- 8, 89.5)     9-17      -10.45       7.75      -0.82         0.88            -9.92
   0 H UMassLowell     ( 2- 6, 85.3)    13-14      -14.60       3.60      -0.82         0.88           -13.57
   0 H Canisius        ( 2- 7, 86.4)    10- 8      -13.55       4.65      -0.82         0.88             3.38
   0 A Queens          ( 4- 5, 86.7)    11-14      -13.16       5.04       0.82         0.88           -10.87
   0 A Binghamton      ( 2- 6, 87.8)     6-12      -12.12       6.08       0.82         0.88            -9.95
   0 H St Bonnies      ( 4- 6, 88.7)     9-12      -11.23       6.97      -0.82         0.88           -10.61
   0 H Hampton         ( 0- 8, 81.7)    15-12      -18.20       1.00      -0.82         0.88             0.16
   0 A Cleveland Stat  ( 4- 5, 89.1)     6-14      -10.77       7.43       0.82         0.88            -8.77
   0 H VMI             ( 4- 5, 86.7)    13-19      -13.19       5.01      -0.82         0.88           -12.33
   0 A Wagner          ( 4- 5, 85.7)     6- 7      -14.16       4.03       0.82         0.88           -11.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -84.23

winning pts = 3.5372 losing points = -87.7668

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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